August 4
Live prediction markets about August 4. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
67%
crowd accuracy
2/3
right calls
Biggest miss
Will at least 375 Renfe long-distance trains be 5+ minutes late on August 4?
YesThe crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
Nothing open on August 4 right now
New questions drop every day. Check back soon, or see what's open elsewhere.
See open questionsHow it turned out3
- Will at least one metropolitan French département be on orange or red alert for a heatwave on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will at least 375 Renfe long-distance trains be 5+ minutes late on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 5 - Will fewer than 20 metropolitan departments be orange for heatwave on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4