Follow the news · October 30, 2026

How the markets that settled that day resolved: the odds, the verdict, and what the crowd got right or wrong.

Settled

Crowd right

69%

Upsets

How we count

The crowd = real players' bets only (bots excluded); questions no player bet on aren't scored. Crowd right: the side above 50% won (50/50 calls excluded). Upset: the crowd was at least 75% sure and wrong. Full accuracy report

Lead story

Will One Piece volume 113 ('La naissance de Loki') be #1 on Edistat's best‑selling books in France list on October 30?No

The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.

76%

Final odds

“It's the most profitable manga in the world”

🐼@fabyBet Yes· 10 💎

“The most read manga in the world”

🦊@ayenem06Bet Yes· 5 💎

Why: Extracted condition: ISBN 9782344071120 must be listed at numerical rank 1 on the Edistat 'Top 200 ventes hebdomadaires' ranking shown on Friday 2026-10-30 (weekly edition covering sales Oct 19–Oct 25, 2026). Observed value: the supplied Edistat page for Semaine 43 (19–25 Octobre 2026) lists ISBN 9782344071120 (One piece - edition originale tome 113 ; la naissance de loki) at Rang 13. Comparison: observed rank = 13, required rank = 1 → condition not met, so the market resolves NO.

Source: edistat.com

131021 💎 staked3198 bettors90 comments

See the market

Resolved Oct 30

All results75 results

Will Jerome Kym beat Shelton in the ATP Basel Round of 16 after a ball has been played?
crowd 91% no · 623 players
Yes
Will Anthropic Vercel's share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs be above 32.9% on Oct 28?
crowd 87% yes · 153 players
No
Will Toronto reach at least 21 °C on October 29?
crowd 82% no · 9 players
Yes
Worlds: Will Bilibili Gaming win their Swiss-stage best-of-3 against Top Esports?
crowd 82% yes · 259 players
No
Supervivientes: Will Arkano still be competing on 30 October?
crowd 80% yes · 24 players
No
Will Paris reach at least 15 °C on October 29?
crowd 79% yes · 421 players
No
Will Central Park reach at least 69 °F on October 29?
crowd 77% yes · 7 players
No
Will France google Laurent Delahousse more than Pascal Obispo on October 29?
crowd 75% yes · 302 players
No
Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?
crowd 72% yes · 2324 players
No
Will Android 18 be announced?
crowd 85% yes · 1271 players
Yes
Will SNCF have at least 2,990 delayed trains on October 29?
crowd 53% yes · 1031 players
No
Will Bitcoin be at least $82,000 on Binance on October 30?
crowd 84% no · 843 players
No
Will Apple (AAPL) have a larger market cap than NVIDIA (NVDA) on October 30?
crowd 85% no · 825 players
No
Will iOS 27.2 be released to iPhone users?
crowd 96% yes · 718 players
Yes
Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?
crowd 79% yes · 686 players
Yes
Will Pokémon TCG Pocket add the basic gameplay mechanic on October 29?
crowd 90% yes · 623 players
Yes
Will players earn at least 112,000 💎 playing games on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?
crowd 79% yes · 619 players
Yes
Will at least 34,100 bets be placed on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?
crowd 67% no · 602 players
No
Will Bitcoin be at least $81,000 on October 29?
crowd 69% yes · 585 players
No
Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 lift off from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg for Starlink 15-18?
crowd 64% yes · 574 players
No
Will the Falcon 9 for Starlink 15‑18 lift off from Vandenberg (SLC‑4E) on October 29?
crowd 56% yes · 549 players
No
Will Falcon 9 booster B10893 touch down on and be recovered from droneship Of Course I Still Love You after the Starlink 15-18 launch?
crowd 65% no · 536 players
No
Will Holger Rune beat Vacherot in the 2026 ATP Basel quarterfinal after a ball is played?
crowd 73% yes · 533 players
No
Will a formal meeting or official press statement explicitly condemn the Oct 15 missile attack on al‑Maashiq Palace?
crowd 57% yes · 513 players
No
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) be among the five largest US-listed companies by market cap?
crowd 93% no · 474 players
No
Will at least 950 new users sign up and bet on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?
crowd 80% no · 474 players
No
Worlds: Will Karmine Corp win the Swiss best-of-3 series against CTBC Flying Oyster?
crowd 85% yes · 449 players
Yes
Will at least one of La France Insoumise's 12 niche proposals be debated in the National Assembly plenary on 29 October?
crowd 91% yes · 447 players
Yes
Will Mexico record an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater?
crowd 66% no · 342 players
Yes
Worlds: Will CTBC Flying Oyster beat Karmine Corp in their Swiss best-of-3 match?
crowd 86% no · 301 players
No
Will Crimson Desert's "Charting the Unknown" expansion be playable on PS5, Xbox Series X, and PC on Oct 29?
crowd 96% yes · 300 players
Yes
Koh-Lanta: Will Maxime still be competing on 29 October?
crowd 94% yes · 296 players
Yes
Will 'Le casse du siècle' by Sarah Knafo be #1 on the Edistat best‑selling books in France ranking?
crowd 75% no · 274 players
No
Koh-Lanta: Will Dorian still be competing on October 29?
crowd 95% yes · 274 players
Yes
Will Meta be publicly asked to delay or modify its updated "Commercial Terms"?
crowd 81% no · 261 players
No
Star Academy: Will Maud Viana still be a contestant on 29 October?
crowd 96% yes · 258 players
Yes
Will OpenAI's Vercel AI Gateway spend share across top labs be above 15.7% on Oct 28?
crowd 69% no · 254 players
No
Star Academy: Will Leeloo still be competing on October 29?
crowd 98% yes · 238 players
Yes
Will Google Vercel's share of AI Gateway requests among the top labs on Oct 28 be above 11.9%?
crowd 69% no · 222 players
No
Will Eisenkot's bloc get more Knesset seats than Netanyahu's bloc?
crowd 75% yes · 200 players
No
Will OpenAI Vercel's share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs on Oct 28, 2026 be above 22.0%?
crowd 76% no · 165 players
No
Will OpenAI Vercel's share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs on Oct 28 be above 18.8%?
crowd 77% yes · 145 players
Yes
Will Renfe have at least 775 long- and medium-distance trains delayed on October 29?
crowd 52% yes · 119 players
No
Will an ISS spacewalk to support the station solar array upgrade begin on October 29?
crowd 93% yes · 85 players
Yes
Will Ahyi Seamount reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?
crowd 75% no · 64 players
No
Will Berlin CDU leader Stefan Evers meet with the SPD and Greens' state leaderships on October 29?
crowd 85% no · 52 players
No
La Granja VIP: Will Azalia Ojeda still be competing on October 29?
crowd 97% no · 49 players
No
Will 'Patient Zero' by Taylor Swift be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 31?
crowd 87% no · 46 players
No
Will any councillor shown in the ITV undercover footage formally resign their council seat?
crowd 92% yes · 32 players
Yes
Will Madrid hit at least 21 °C on 29 October?
crowd 88% yes · 31 players
Yes

The week in news: Oct 26 – Nov 1, 2026