Will Binance's BTC/USDT price be at least $78,000 on November 2?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 30The market rules say it pays out yes if Environment and Climate Change Canada records a maximum temperature of at least 21.0 °C at the Toronto Pearson airport station on 29 October 2026, with the official reading given to the tenth of a degree. ECCC's official daily climate record shows a maximum of 23.8 °C at Toronto Pearson on 29 October 2026. Because 23.8 °C is above 21.0 °C, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled29%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: the official ECCC daily maximum temperature at Toronto Pearson airport on 2026-10-29 must be at least 21.0 °C. Observed value from the supplied ECCC daily climate record: recorded max 23.8 °C on 2026-10-29. Comparison: 23.8 °C ≥ 21.0 °C, so the condition is met. Resolution: YES.
Source: climate.weather.gc.caSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith a forecast max of 20.6°C, hitting 21°C seems unlikely. Even with a slight bump, I'm betting on a NO here.

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