Follow the news · October 12, 2026
How the markets that settled that day resolved: the odds, the verdict, and what the crowd got right or wrong.
Settled
212
Crowd right
78%
Upsets
4
How we count
The crowd = real players' bets only (bots excluded); questions no player bet on aren't scored. Crowd right: the side above 50% won (50/50 calls excluded). Upset: the crowd was at least 75% sure and wrong. Full accuracy report
All results212 results
- Ligue 1: will Paris Saint‑Germain have at least 11 points on 12 October?Yes
crowd 94% yes · 317 players
- Ligue 1: Will Marseille be in the bottom two (17th–18th)?No
crowd 68% no · 301 players
- Will a UN Security Council resolution explicitly condemn the Russian missile and drone attacks?No
crowd 73% no · 286 players
- Will Google have above 20.6% of OpenRouter's text market by model author for the week of Oct 5?No
crowd 82% no · 279 players
- Ligue 1: Will AS Monaco be first in the table on October 12?Yes
crowd 78% yes · 272 players
- Will OpenAI's market share be above 18.4%?Yes
crowd 71% yes · 266 players
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann get the most votes in the first round of the PS / Place publique primary?Yes
crowd 77% yes · 262 players
- Will Google's Gemini be the top-ranked LLM on Oct 12?Yes
crowd 54% yes · 262 players
- Ligue 1: will Lille be in the top 4 on October 12?Yes
crowd 92% yes · 247 players
- Ligue 1: will Olympique Lyonnais be 1st on October 12?No
crowd 88% no · 238 players
- Will any championship change hands at WWE Money in the Bank on October 10?Yes
crowd 86% yes · 236 players
- Ligue 1: will Lyon be above AS Monaco in the table on October 12?No
crowd 82% no · 208 players
- Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) be in the top 5 US-listed companies by market cap on October 12?No
crowd 85% no · 207 players
- Ligue 1: Will Lyon be above AS Monaco in the table on October 12?No
crowd 83% no · 205 players
- Ligue 1: Will Marseille be above Troyes in the table on October 12?Yes
crowd 68% yes · 205 players
- Ligue 1: Will Paris FC be in the top 3 on October 12?No
crowd 51% no · 203 players
- Will 'Patient Zero' by Taylor Swift be the #2 song on Spotify's global chart?No
crowd 59% yes · 198 players
- Ligue 1: will Troyes be above Olympique de Marseille on October 12?No
crowd 63% no · 196 players
- Will Xiyu Wang win the Wang vs Wang match in the WTA Wuhan Round of 64?Yes
crowd 81% yes · 171 players
- Will DeepSeek's text market share be above 23.4%?Yes
crowd 69% yes · 169 players
- Will OpenAI's text market share on OpenRouter be above 18.7%?No
crowd 59% yes · 163 players
- Will the red Fuji Sportif 2.3 (2021) be available on velo-store.fr for €800 or less on October 12?No
crowd 78% no · 152 players
- Will Philippe Brun be reinstated to the Parti Socialiste presidential primary?No
crowd 89% no · 149 players
- Will Arthur Gea be ranked inside the ATP Top 50 on October 12?No
crowd 57% yes · 148 players
- Liga MX: will the nine fixtures from 9 to 11 October see 29 or more yellow cards in total?Yes
crowd 91% yes · 145 players
- Ligue 1: will Paris FC have at least 14 points in the table on October 12?No
crowd 64% yes · 143 players
- Will the US publicly accept Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz?No
crowd 84% no · 138 players
- Will OpenAI's market share on OpenRouter's text market by model author be above 17.8%?Yes
crowd 71% yes · 134 players
- Will Hurricane Isaias spawn at least one confirmed tornado in the U.S. Southeast on October 9 or October 10?Yes
crowd 76% yes · 126 players
- Premier League: Will Liverpool vs Manchester City have 3 or more total goals on 11 October?Yes
crowd 75% yes · 122 players
- Will Paul Seixas start any men's race at Roc d'Azur?Yes
crowd 96% yes · 110 players
- La Granja VIP: Will 'La Bebeshita' still be competing on October 11?Yes
crowd 96% yes · 84 players
- ATP 100 Challenger Villena: Will the men's final be won by a player whose official nationality is Spain?No
crowd 94% no · 77 players
- Will the New York Giants beat the Washington Commanders?No
crowd 71% no · 76 players
- La Granja VIP: Will Ivonne Montero still be competing on October 11?Yes
crowd 98% yes · 65 players
- La Liga: will Levante vs Sevilla have 3 or more goals in total on October 12?Yes
crowd 55% yes · 65 players
- La Granja VIP: will Kunno still be competing on October 11?Yes
crowd 97% yes · 64 players
- Supervivientes: Will Asraf still be competing on October 11?Yes
crowd 95% yes · 59 players
- Abierto de España: will Eugenio López‑Chacarra win?No
crowd 88% no · 58 players
- La Liga: Will Sevilla be in the top 4 on October 12?No
crowd 83% no · 56 players
- Will Tropical Storm Rachel make landfall on the coast of Mexico?Yes
crowd 94% yes · 55 players
- La Liga: will Valencia be in the relegation zone (positions 18–20) on October 12?Yes
crowd 77% yes · 54 players
- Bundesliga: will RB Leipzig be above Eintracht Frankfurt on October 12?Yes
crowd 98% yes · 51 players
- La Liga: Will Athletic Club be in the top six on October 12?No
crowd 70% no · 49 players
- Will Morena publish detailed internal survey results used to pick its state coordinators?Yes
crowd 90% yes · 47 players
- La Liga: Will Deportivo be ranked above Real Sociedad on October 12?No
crowd 56% no · 46 players
- La Liga: Will Athletic Club be above Rayo Vallecano in the table?Yes
crowd 81% yes · 45 players
- La Liga: will Real Sociedad be in the top 6?Yes
crowd 56% no · 45 players
- Supervivientes: Will Yola Berrocal still be competing on 11 October?Yes
crowd 82% yes · 44 players
- Will Madrid reach at least 23 °C on October 11?Yes
crowd 68% yes · 44 players