Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 11YES if, no later than October 10, 2026, the UN Security Council adopts a formal resolution that explicitly condemns the Russian missile and drone attacks described in Associated Press reporting. Otherwise NO. • Adopted means the Council votes to pass the text and the text is published as an adopted Security Council resolution. • A presidential statement, press statement, or other non-resolution text does not count. Two or more independent major news organisations reporting the Council adopted such a resolution no later than October 10, 2026 also counts. • Source: United Nations, Associated Press.
How markets are built and settled29%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Market requirement: The Security Council had to vote in favor and formally publish a resolution condemning the Russian attacks. Although the Security Council debated the escalation of violence and the recent attacks in Ukraine (such as the session on October 9, 2026), no resolution was adopted in that regard (due, among other factors, to Russia's veto power as a permanent member).
Source: news.un.orgSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRussia has veto power so the UN will and has not made a resolution condemning the attack knowing Russia will veto and block it
I don't believe it
NO. No resolution condemning the Russian strikes in Ukraine was adopted by the UN Security Council before October 10. Simple statements are not enough.
The US, which controls the UN, is seeking appeasement and thinking about the post-war period.
That's how it is

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