Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth and land or splash down?

91%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the U.S. National Weather Service publishes an official storm report or a local NWS office bulletin that explicitly attributes at least one tornado on October 9 or October 10, 2026 to Hurricane Isaias between 4:30:36 PM UTC on October 9, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on October 11, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Only tornadoes explicitly attributed to Hurricane Isaias by the NWS count. • The tornado must have an occurrence date of October 9 or October 10, 2026. • Source: U.S. National Weather Service.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 84 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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91%
Stable · last 24h

51%
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50%
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46%
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54%
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42%
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