Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

60%
+1% last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, two or more independent major news organizations report that Xi Jinping and Donald Trump met in person and held bilateral talks (i.e., a face-to-face meeting in the same physical location described as bilateral talks or confirmed by an official White House or Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs statement). One outlet alone does not count unless its report is corroborated by an official White House or Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs statement plus one independent outlet. A phone call, video meeting, or merely sharing a multilateral event with only a handshake or photo-op does not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rfi.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 389 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTrump isn't going over there, I guarantee!
It's scheduled for September 24th
It's announced!
Given the current geopolitical climate, a face-to-face meeting seems unlikely. Both leaders are too preoccupied with other issues, making this scenario improbable.

60%
+1% last 24h

68%
+48% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy