Will VOX get over 18% in Spain's next national poll?

🤖 Context

YES if the topmost poll in the Wikipedia "Main voting-intention table" reports VOX's national voting-intention percentage strictly greater than 18.0% for a poll published on or after September 28, 2026 at 11:00 UTC and no later than October 12, 2026. Otherwise NO. • "Topmost" means the most recent entry in the table. • Use the headline national VOX percentage shown in that table. If that table entry has no numeric VOX percentage, use the pollster's published figures or mainstream Spanish reporting for the same poll. If no numeric national VOX percentage for that poll can be found, the market resolves NO. • Source: Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election" and the pollster named in the topmost table entry.

Key facts

Crowd probability

82%

Predictions made

469

Credits staked

9,072

Comments

3

Opened

Sep 28, 2026

Closes

Oct 12, 2026

Resolved

Oct 15, 2026

Outcome

Yes