🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 27
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ScienceOpened Sep 28 · Results Sep 30
Will Tropical Storm Rachel be a hurricane on September 29?
42%
Stable · last 24h
📊 197 bettors💎 3.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 30🤖 Context
YES if the public advisory or forecast bulletin from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA/SMN) that is valid at 6:00 PM local time on September 29, 2026 explicitly describes Rachel as a hurricane (labels it "huracán" or assigns Saffir‑Simpson Category 1 or higher), otherwise NO. • "Describes as a hurricane" means the bulletin text or classification table uses the word "huracán" or shows Saffir‑Simpson Category 1 or higher. • If SMN does not publish an advisory covering that timestamp, YES if two or more independent major news organisations explicitly report Rachel as a hurricane at the same time. If SMN and those news organisations explicitly disagree, the SMN advisory decides. • Source: Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA/SMN).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes42%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Yes. If you are talking about Rachel (often written as "Rachelle"), on September 29, 2026, she was still officially a tropical storm for most of the day, with sustained winds around 110 km/h. Then, in the evening of September 29, she officially became a hurricane, with sustained winds of about 120 km/h. So: * September 29 afternoon: tropical storm * September 29 around 11 PM (Mexico time): Hurricane Rachel 🌪️
Source: facebook.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 42%
- Predictions made
- 197
- Credits staked
- 3,618
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 28, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 29, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- facebook.com, nhc.noaa.gov, journaily.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the timing, I doubt Rachel will be officially labeled a hurricane by the SMN in their advisory tomorrow. Will take more than a day to strengthen significantly.
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