🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 10 · Results Oct 11
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65%
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ScienceOpened Sep 29 · Results Oct 4
Will tropical cyclone Rachel make landfall in Mexico?
23%
Stable · last 24h
📊 405 bettors💎 7.6K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 4🤖 Context
YES if the center of tropical cyclone Rachel crosses the Mexican coastline between 4:30 AM UTC on September 29, 2026 and no later than 11:59 PM on October 3, 2026 (Mexico City time). Otherwise NO. • An explicit statement in an official operational advisory that Rachel made landfall or that its center crossed the coast counts. • Statements that only say close approach, probable landfall, or describe coastal impacts without the center crossing do not count. • If no official advisory uses explicit landfall wording, the market resolves YES if at least two independent major news organizations explicitly report that Rachel's center made landfall in Mexico during the same window. • Source: Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) or U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No23%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: NO According to the operational bulletins from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), the center of tropical cyclone Rachel did not cross the Mexican coast and did not make landfall in Mexico during the specified period (between September 29 and October 3, 2026). • Trajectory remained offshore: All official reports indicate that Rachel stayed offshore from the southwestern coasts of Mexico and Baja California. The system moved parallel
Source: catnat.netKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 23%
- Predictions made
- 405
- Credits staked
- 7,627
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 29, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 4, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- catnat.net
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the timing and the nature of cyclones, Rachel is likely to impact the coast soon. Keep an eye on the advisories for a clear landfall statement, but it's looking positive for a hit.
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