Will there be a revocation of mandate for President Claudia Sheinbaum on June 6?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than December 31, 2026, the Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE) publicly issues an official statement or calendar declaring that a revocation of mandate for President Claudia Sheinbaum will be held on June 6, 2027, either explicitly scheduled for that date or stated to be held together with the June 6, 2027 elections. This includes INE press releases or an announcement on INE.mx, or major Mexican outlets publishing contemporaneous reports that quote the INE. Drafts, internal papers, or statements that only say the INE will consider the request do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx, eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 430 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

84%

Predictions made

430

Credits staked

7,226

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 3, 2026

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Expected resolution

Jan 2, 2027

Resolution source

politica.expansion.mx, eluniversal.com.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 84% and NO 16%, based on 430 predictions and 7.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against politica.expansion.mx, eluniversal.com.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will there be a revocation of mandate for President Claudia Sheinbaum on June 6?” real-money betting?

No. “Will there be a revocation of mandate for President Claudia Sheinbaum on June 6?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.