🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 15 · Results Aug 16
Will the US publicly say it carried out a strike inside Iran or on Iranian government facilities by 12:00 PM on August 16, 2026 (Eastern US time)?

25%
-1% last 24h
2148 bets · 45.9K credits6
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51%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 6This market will resolve to 'YES' if the U.S. House of Representatives passes a motion of censure during the session scheduled for July 6, 2026. It will resolve to 'NO' if no such motion is passed during that session.
How markets are built and settled51%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

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