Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
+17% last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, on September 7, 2026 (Spain local time), at least two independent national Spanish news outlets report that the two former Plus Ultra executives cited in EFE's story were formally questioned and recorded as having 'declared as investigados' at the Audiencia Nacional in the judicial case related to José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. NO if reporting shows the questioning was postponed or cancelled, the executives were only present but not questioned, they were questioned only as witnesses (not as investigados), the questioning took place on a different date, or if no such reporting appears. Acceptable outlets include EFE, El País, RTVE, El Mundo and ABC.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 69%, based on 8 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the reports leading up to the date, I expect the two former Plus Ultra executives will be interrogated as 'investigados'. It seems likely the media will cover this correctly.

69%
+17% last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

61%
Stable · last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h
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