Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 13YES if contemporaneous reporting on October 13, 2026 shows a demonstration called by Union étudiante assembled at or departed from Place d'Italie at about 14:00 and the main body of demonstrators reached or ended at the Invalides on the same day, otherwise NO. • The march must have assembled at or left Place d'Italie at about 14:00 local time. • The main body of demonstrators must have reached or ended at the Invalides (Place des Invalides or the immediate Invalides complex) the same day. • Source: Préfecture de Police de Paris, AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde.
How markets are built and settled91%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Contemporaneous reporting and official routes on October 13, 2026, confirm that the demonstration called by the Union étudiante in Paris started at Place d'Italie at about 14:00 local time and marched toward the Invalides (ending at Place Vauban in the immediate Invalides complex).
Source: sortiraparis.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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