Will early votes in the 2026 U.S. general election exceed 60,000,000?

38%
+3% last 24h

27%
-27% last 24h
YES if, after the 2026 U.S. general election and any runoffs, counts, or certifications needed to determine Senate control for the term beginning January 2027, the Republican Party is publicly reported to control the U.S. Senate. Otherwise NO. • Control means having more Senate seats than the Democrats, or a 50–50 split where the vice president who will serve as tiebreaker is a Republican. • Source: Two or more independent reputable news organisations or the Secretary of the Senate.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 27%, based on 489 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledJust look at the polls and the popular disdain for the current power in certain states that voted Republican in the last elections.
Too much power in the Republican party is already a disaster with a crazy alienated president, in short, we need to stop the hemorrhage of this Republican dictator.
No
They are in a bad position given the decisions made by Donald Trump that are ruining his country!
Hope not

38%
+3% last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

35%
-1% last 24h

30%
-1% last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

60%
+1% last 24h
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