Will terrorism charges be filed in connection with the Paris‑suburb shootings?

74%
Stable · last 24h

37%
-7% last 24h
YES if the total number of early votes cast in the United States for the 2026 general election exceeds 60,000,000, otherwise NO. • Early votes means in-person early ballots plus absentee/mail ballots that were returned and accepted before election day. • Ballots cast on election day are excluded. • Source: two or more independent reputable news organisations (for example AP or Reuters), or widely-cited compilers such as the United States Elections Project, or official state election authorities.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 887 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI'm taking the risk of saying yes because currently there are 53.7M votes, which is 7.7M more than in 2022. Nothing is certain, but it could happen, though it's tough.
The Americans will wake up at the last moment. I remain confident in their show of strength.
That seems like a lot to me
We're already almost at 60 M
Many feel concerned about this vote

74%
Stable · last 24h

35%
-1% last 24h

30%
-1% last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

60%
+1% last 24h
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