Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

32%
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69%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 6YES if, between September 28, 2026 and no later than October 5, 2026, the Delegation of the Government in the Community of Madrid issues an order or authorization that is executed and results in the physical eviction or removal of the Puerta del Sol encampment, and that eviction is reported as carried out by at least two independent national news outlets or by an official Delegation statement together with independent press corroboration, otherwise NO. • A mere demand, warning, or call to 'restore normality' that is not followed by an executed physical removal does not count. • Source: Delegation of the Government in the Community of Madrid and independent national news outlets.
How markets are built and settled69%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The Superior Court of Justice of Madrid rejected the immediate eviction and the camping continued in Sol on October 5.
Source: efe.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith today being the 28th, the government has a tight window to act. If they issue an order, it will likely get coverage. I'm leaning yes on this one.

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94%
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40%
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64%
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33%
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