Will the no-confidence motion against Michelle O'Neill and other Sinn Féin ministers be passed?

🤖 Context

YES if, between 19:01:42 UTC on October 14, 2026 and no later than November 30, 2026, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that the no-confidence motion against Michelle O'Neill and the named Sinn Féin ministers was put to a vote and was declared carried. Otherwise NO. • A report counts only if it says the presiding officer declared it carried or published vote totals show it carried. • Debates without a vote, reports of support before a vote, or a postponed vote do not count. • Source: BBC News and other independent authoritative news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

66%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 14, 2026

Closes

Nov 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 66% and NO 34%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the no-confidence motion against Michelle O'Neill and other Sinn Féin ministers be passed?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the no-confidence motion against Michelle O'Neill and other Sinn Féin ministers be passed?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.