Will any official weather station in Spain or Portugal record at least 100.0 mm of rain in 24 hours?

90%
Stable · last 24h

21%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Awaiting resultYES if, between November 3, 2026 and no later than November 9, 2026, EUMETSAT, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), or the national meteorological service of Italy, Greece, Turkey, or Bulgaria publishes on its official website or in an official bulletin or press release an explicit on‑the‑record statement describing the Mediterranean low discussed in the wetter.com article as a 'Medicane' or 'Mediterranean hurricane', otherwise NO. • The statement must appear on the agency's official website or in an official bulletin or press release. Mainstream news stories that quote such an explicit official statement count as secondary evidence. Social‑media‑only posts that are not mirrored on an official website do not count. • The statement must use exactly the word 'Medicane' (case‑insensitive) or the English phrase 'Mediterranean hurricane'. Variants like 'medicane‑like' do not count. • Source: EUMETSAT, World Meteorological Organization (WMO), or the national meteorological service of Italy, Greece, Turkey, or Bulgaria.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 21%, based on 317 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
90%
Stable · last 24h

60%
+2% last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h
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