🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
985 bets · 34.2K credits13
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PoliticsOpened Oct 11 · Results Oct 19
Will the 'Ley de Ingresos de la Federación' be approved in a plenary session of the Chamber of Deputies?
17%
Stable · last 24h
📊 172 bettors💎 3.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 19🤖 Context
YES if the full Chamber of Deputies (Pleno) records an affirmative plenary vote approving a text explicitly identified as the 'Ley de Ingresos de la Federación' no later than October 18, 2026. NO otherwise. • Only a recorded affirmative plenary vote in the full Chamber (Pleno) counts. Committee approvals or sending a draft onward without plenary approval do not count. • A tie, procedural failure, or any approval that occurred before October 11, 2026 does not count. • Source: Chamber of Deputies; two independent national or international news outlets.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes17%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Yes, the Federal Revenue Law (for the Fiscal Year 2027) was approved in general by the Plenary of the Chamber of Deputies of Mexico. • Voting result: The bill was approved with 331 votes in favor, 0 against, and 118 abstentions. • Resolution criterion: Since the affirmative plenary vote occurred before the deadline of October 18, 2026 (registered on October 15, 2026), the answer to the bet is YES.
Source: bloomberglinea.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 17%
- Predictions made
- 172
- Credits staked
- 3,584
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 11, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 12, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 19, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- bloomberglinea.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the short timeline and procedural hurdles, it's unlikely the Chamber will pass this without complications. I'm betting on a NO here.
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