Will the Jackdaw gas field be formally approved by the UK government or regulator?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than November 30, 2026, two or more independent UK national news outlets report that the UK government or the relevant regulator has formally approved or granted development consent/permits for the Jackdaw gas field project. A government minister's announcement or the regulator's published decision is the preferred form of reporting, but ordinary reporting by multiple independent outlets is sufficient. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 401 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

43%

Predictions made

401

Credits staked

6,758

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 21, 2026

Closes

Nov 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 43% and NO 57%, based on 401 predictions and 6.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Jackdaw gas field be formally approved by the UK government or regulator?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Jackdaw gas field be formally approved by the UK government or regulator?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.