🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

74%
+40% last 24h
1779 bets · 53K credits6
Details →
47%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Jan 1YES if the method (developed by CNRS–University of Tokyo) is published in a peer‑reviewed scientific journal (not just preprint) by December 31 2026; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against lemonde.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 47%, based on 9 predictions.
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74%
+40% last 24h

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