Will the final federal budget for 2027 allocate at least 1,025,000,000,000 MXN to 'Programas para el Bienestar'?

🤖 Context

YES if the final approved Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación 2027, as published in the Cámara de Diputados' approved dictamen and/or in the Diario Oficial de la Federación, shows an explicit total appropriation for the items grouped and labeled 'Programas para el Bienestar' that is greater than or equal to 1,025,000,000,000 MXN. Otherwise NO. If the approved budget does not present an explicit, unambiguous 'Programas para el Bienestar' total (for example, if the programs are split across unrelated line items so the total cannot be determined from official documents), the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 423 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

84%

Predictions made

423

Credits staked

8,280

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 10, 2026

Closes

Nov 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 16, 2026

Resolution source

politica.expansion.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 84% and NO 16%, based on 423 predictions and 8.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against politica.expansion.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the final federal budget for 2027 allocate at least 1,025,000,000,000 MXN to 'Programas para el Bienestar'?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the final federal budget for 2027 allocate at least 1,025,000,000,000 MXN to 'Programas para el Bienestar'?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.