Will the Falcon 9 carrying Cygnus NG-25 lift off from Cape Canaveral SLC-40?

🤖 Context

YES if the Falcon 9 assigned to Cygnus NG-25 lifts off (engines ignite and the vehicle clears the pad) from SLC-40, Cape Canaveral at any time during the launch attempt that starts at 10:49 AM EST on November 29, 2026, otherwise NO. • Liftoff means the rocket's engines ignite and the vehicle clears the launch pad. • The launch attempt refers to the attempt that starts at 10:49 AM EST on November 29, 2026. If the attempt is postponed, rescheduled, or cancelled and no liftoff occurs during that attempt, the market resolves NO. • Source: SpaceX, Northrop Grumman, Spaceflight Now, Reuters or AP.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 250 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

34%

Predictions made

250

Credits staked

11,404

Comments

4

Opened

Nov 11, 2026

Closes

Nov 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 29, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 29, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 34% and NO 66%, based on 250 predictions and 11.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Falcon 9 carrying Cygnus NG-25 lift off from Cape Canaveral SLC-40?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Falcon 9 carrying Cygnus NG-25 lift off from Cape Canaveral SLC-40?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.