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Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?
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PoliticsOpened Jul 26 · Results Aug 2
Will the Chamber of Deputies' video 'Conferencia de prensa, Dip. Kenia López Rabadán' reach 10,000 public views before Aug 2, 2026?
23%
Stable · last 24h
📊 28 bettors💎 556 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 2🤖 Context
YES if the public view count shown on the YouTube watch page for the video 'Conferencia de prensa, Dip. Kenia López Rabadán' is at least 10,000 at 12:00 on August 2, 2026 (UTC−05:00). Otherwise NO. If the original watch URL is removed, made private, or becomes inaccessible before that time the market resolves NO, unless the exact same watch URL is restored and publicly accessible before the resolution time. Views on other uploads or different URLs do not count.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No23%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied YouTube pages for videos of 'Conferencia de prensa' featuring Dip. Kenia López Rabadán all show view counts well below 10,000 as of the page snapshots: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g3JYv-5wIXg (Cámara de Diputados, uploaded 2026-07-23) — 1,319 views; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DyzxCyAbQiI (Cámara de Diputados, uploaded 2026-07-30) — 1,122 views; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Ojmq9upAS4 (Coordinación de Comunicación Social, uploaded 2026-07-20) — 177 views; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zqt8JAwR7_Q (Coordinación de Comunicación Social, uploaded 2026-07-21) — 107 views; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xc4USXZOZDA (Coordinación de Comunicación Social, uploaded 2026-07-28) — 96 views. None reach 10,000 views, so based on the provided evidence the answer is NO.
Source: youtube.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 23%
- Predictions made
- 28
- Credits staked
- 556
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 26, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 2, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 2, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- youtube.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 23 💎
no way this makes it to 10k views, it's gonna be a snooze fest. 😂
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