Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

31%
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90%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 13YES if, between 20:30 UTC on October 10, 2026 and no later than October 13, 2026, two or more independent, authoritative news outlets report that Saudi authorities publicly attributed the reported attack on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), or if an explicit Saudi government statement names the Houthis. Otherwise NO. • Two independent outlets count even if they cite a Saudi statement rather than publishing the full text. • A single anonymous social-media post or a Houthi claim alone does not count. • Source: Saudi government statements and independent, authoritative news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC).
How markets are built and settled90%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: several reputable media outlets reported, after the start of the eligible period, that the authorities of the coalition led by Saudi Arabia had attributed the deadly attack on October 10, 2026, against King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh to the Houthis.
Source: cbsnews.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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