Will the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) weaken further by end‑of‑2026 compared to its 2025 average?

🤖 Context

YES if peer‑reviewed data by an authoritative oceanographic institution (e.g. University of Miami, NOAA, IPCC) show the AMOC index at end‑2026 is lower than its average value in 2025; NO otherwise.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Jan 31, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Feb 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against eurekalert.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 13 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

54%

Predictions made

13

Credits staked

278

Comments

0

Opened

May 17, 2026

Closes

Jan 31, 2027

Expected resolution

Feb 1, 2027

Resolution source

eurekalert.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Jan 31, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Feb 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 54% and NO 46%, based on 13 predictions and 278 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against eurekalert.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) weaken further by end‑of‑2026 compared to its 2025 average?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) weaken further by end‑of‑2026 compared to its 2025 average?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.