Will the AfD get a written final judgment in its main lawsuit over being classified as "gesichert rechtsextrem" (official German label meaning "proven right‑wing extremist")?

🤖 Context

YES if a written judgment that disposes of the Hauptsacheverfahren in the AfD's lawsuit challenging its classification as "gesichert rechtsextrem" is published or issued by the Verwaltungsgericht Köln on or after 19:01:13 UTC on October 11, 2026 and no later than December 31, 2026, otherwise NO. • Only a final written judgment in the main proceedings (Hauptsacheverfahren) counts. • Interim Eilverfahren rulings, procedural orders, or statements that only schedule further hearings do not count. • Source: Verwaltungsgericht Köln.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 402 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

55%

Predictions made

402

Credits staked

7,563

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 11, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 55% and NO 45%, based on 402 predictions and 7.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the AfD get a written final judgment in its main lawsuit over being classified as "gesichert rechtsextrem" (official German label meaning "proven right‑wing extremist")?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the AfD get a written final judgment in its main lawsuit over being classified as "gesichert rechtsextrem" (official German label meaning "proven right‑wing extremist")?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.