🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
31%
-1% last 24h
1131 bets · 40K credits14
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PoliticsOpened Sep 24 · Results Oct 1
Will South Korea publicly say it received two North Korean prisoners of war from Ukraine?
39%
Stable · last 24h
📊 487 bettors💎 15.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 1🤖 Context
YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, the government of the Republic of Korea (for example the Ministry of National Defense or Ministry of Foreign Affairs) issues a public statement saying it has received two North Korean prisoners of war transferred from Ukraine. YES also if at least two independent established news organizations (for example AP, Reuters, Yonhap, BBC) report by that date that the ROK government publicly confirmed receipt. Otherwise NO. If South Korea confirms only one POW, or only says it is "investigating" or "coordinating" without confirming receipt by that date, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes39%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The Presidency of the Republic (presidential office): President Lee Jae Myung's government issued an official statement expressing "strong regrets" and demanding an apology from Ukraine. It confirmed the existence of a confidential agreement made a few months earlier with Volodymyr Zelensky to retrieve these two soldiers.
Source: en.yna.co.krKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 39%
- Predictions made
- 487
- Credits staked
- 15,453
- Comments
- 9
- Opened
- Sep 24, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 3, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- en.yna.co.kr, apnews.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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