🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
984 bets · 34.2K credits13
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PoliticsOpened Oct 21 · Results Oct 22
Will Serge Grouard hold a press conference on October 22?
92%
Stable · last 24h
📊 255 bettors💎 12.9K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 22🤖 Context
YES if Serge Grouard, as mayor of Orléans, holds an on-the-record press conference that begins at 11:00 local time on 22 October 2026 in Orléans, otherwise NO. • The start time of 11:00 local time is the deciding moment. • The event must be an on-the-record press conference by the mayor. A private meeting does not count. • Source: Mayor's office of Orléans or contemporaneous reporting in major outlets such as AFP or Franceinfo.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes92%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Reliable contemporaneous reporting shows that Serge Grouard held an on-the-record press conference in Orléans on 22 October 2026, after the market’s 11:00 local-time deciding moment.
Source: information.tv5monde.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 92%
- Predictions made
- 255
- Credits staked
- 12,850
- Comments
- 5
- Opened
- Oct 21, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 22, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 22, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- information.tv5monde.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 5 comments
- 🦊
The conference has already been announced for this Thursday at 11 AM by several media outlets, particularly in the context of the RN congress in Orléans. Unless there is a last-minute change, the yes seems quite solid to me.
- 👽
Everything seems to indicate that this conference will indeed take place.
- 🔥
He spoke to the press this morning, so it's unlikely...
- 🐼
That's how it is
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given that the press conference is scheduled for tomorrow, there's not much time left, but if it's been officially announced, I expect it to happen. Looks likely.
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