🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
949 bets · 33.2K credits12
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PoliticsOpened Sep 24 · Results Oct 17
Will Ségolène Royal win the Socialist Party presidential primary?
9%
Stable · last 24h
📊 260 bettors💎 9.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 17🤖 Context
YES if the officially published result from the Socialist Party's organising commission for the presidential primary (vote held on 9–10 October and 16–17 October 2026) names Ségolène Royal as the winner, either alone or explicitly among declared winners. NO otherwise. If the primary is postponed beyond 17 October 2026 or legally annulled before any winner is officially declared, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No9%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: No, it's Glucksmann who won from the first round.
Source: publicsenat.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 9%
- Predictions made
- 260
- Credits staked
- 9,687
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Sep 24, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 18, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- publicsenat.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRelated predictions
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Will any city or department in metropolitan France be put under a legally binding curfew?
94%
Stable · last 24h
1001 bets · 40.6K credits14
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Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?
40%
Stable · last 24h
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Will the Missouri Secretary of State tell every county to use the 2022 congressional map for the 2026 general election?
64%
Stable · last 24h
565 bets · 18.8K credits4
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Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?
33%
Stable · last 24h
500 bets · 17.3K credits2
Details →📊Politics·PollsCloses Oct 24 · Results Oct 25
Will Donald Trump's job approval be above 37% on Oct 24?
49%
+9% last 24h
498 bets · 13.5K credits3
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