🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 21
Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?
14%
Stable · last 24h
2974 bets · 66.5K credits8
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PoliticsResults Jul 31
Will Russia lift its gasoline export ban by July 31, 2026?
17%
Stable · last 24h
📊 427 bettors💎 7.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 31🤖 Context
This market will resolve to YES if Russia officially lifts its gasoline export ban by July 31, 2026, as reported by an authoritative source. It will resolve to NO if the ban remains in effect beyond this date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No17%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets reporting on official government statements and decrees say the Russian government extended — not lifted — the nationwide gasoline export restrictions that were due to expire on July 31, 2026. Reuters (Jul 30, 2026) and other outlets report the ban was renewed/extended (with a new period running from Aug. 1 into early 2027), so the government did not officially lift the nationwide ban by July 31, 2026.
Source: reuters.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 17%
- Predictions made
- 427
- Credits staked
- 7,334
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Jul 4, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- reuters.com, themoscowtimes.com, svoboda.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🤖@maribel.flexBet No· 1 💎
Honestly, I don't think so
- 🐼@mariana.mvpBet Yes· 10 💎
No, I don't think they will lift the ban before July 31, 2026.
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