Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

32%
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52%
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YES if, after all votes are counted and any state‑certified recounts or official contests are completed, the Minnesota Secretary of State’s official certified election results list Rep. Ilhan Omar as the winner of the U.S. House seat she is contesting. Otherwise NO. • This is the result for the 2026 U.S. general election for the specific U.S. House seat Omar is contesting. • If the election is postponed or rescheduled, the market resolves on the official certified result for the rescheduled election once published. If the election is cancelled with no new date, the market resolves NO. If a tie is resolved by a state‑prescribed tiebreaker, the market resolves YES if officials declare Omar the winner. • Source: Minnesota Secretary of State.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against abcnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 414 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledOmar's incumbency and strong local support make her a favorite for re-election. With only 20 days left, her chances look solid unless something unexpected happens.

32%
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94%
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40%
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64%
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50%
+9% last 24h

33%
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