Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 21YES if, no later than October 20, 2026, at least two independent Canadian news organisations report that Public Safety Minister Gary Anandasangaree attended a public meeting of any House of Commons or Senate committee and that the committee proceedings included questions to or answers from the minister specifically about the foreign influence registry or the Office of the Foreign Influence Commissioner. Otherwise NO. • The appearance must be at a public meeting of any committee of the House of Commons or the Senate. In-person or public recorded virtual appearances count. • The committee proceedings must have included questions to or answers from the minister specifically about the foreign influence registry or the Office of the Foreign Influence Commissioner. • Private briefings, closed-door meetings, and press-conference statements do not count. • Source: at least two independent Canadian news organisations.
How markets are built and settled21%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The market resolved as NO because Minister Gary Anandasangaree did not appear before a parliamentary committee during the specified period (from October 12 to 20, 2026). Although Conservative MP Michael Cooper called for his appearance on October 9, 2026, and the minister addressed the issue during Question Period in the House of Commons, no public committee session on this matter took place with his participation before the deadline of October 20.
Source: cbc.caSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a week left and a clear mandate, it's likely Anandasangaree will face questions on this. Expect two credible reports to confirm his appearance before the deadline.

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