🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
949 bets · 33.2K credits12
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PoliticsOpened Oct 21 · Results Oct 23
Will Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu meet in person with the mayors of Paris, Marseille and Lyon at the same meeting?
68%
Stable · last 24h
📊 367 bettors💎 18.1K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 23🤖 Context
YES if, no later than October 22, 2026, France's Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu holds an in-person meeting attended by the mayors of Paris, Marseille and Lyon. Otherwise NO. • All three mayors must be physically present at the same meeting. Phone or video-only contacts do not count. • Public claims on social media alone do not count. • Source: official Matignon press release, an on-the-record statement from any of the mayoral offices of Paris, Marseille or Lyon, or contemporaneous reporting by AFP, Franceinfo or Le Monde.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu held an in-person meeting at Matignon Palace on Thursday, October 22, 2026, with the mayors of Paris, Lyon, and Marseille. Upon leaving, the mayors gave statements to media outlets such as Franceinfo and Le Progrès, confirming their simultaneous attendance to demand accountability from the State for its handling of security during the October 17 riots.
Source: leprogres.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 68%
- Predictions made
- 367
- Credits staked
- 18,134
- Comments
- 6
- Opened
- Oct 21, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 22, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 23, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- leprogres.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 6 comments
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