Will Prime Minister Mark Carney ask the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and call a federal election?

🤖 Context

YES if the Governor General's Office, Elections Canada, or two or more independent national news outlets report that the Governor General accepted Prime Minister Mark Carney's advice to dissolve Parliament and that writs for a federal election were issued no later than December 31, 2026. If the Governor General accepts advice to prorogue (suspend Parliament's sittings) instead, that does not count and the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 3, 2027. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 409 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

409

Credits staked

6,924

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 11, 2026

Closes

Dec 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 3, 2027

Resolution source

cbc.ca

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 3, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 409 predictions and 6.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against cbc.ca once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Prime Minister Mark Carney ask the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and call a federal election?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Prime Minister Mark Carney ask the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and call a federal election?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.