🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
30%
-2% last 24h
1173 bets · 41.3K credits15
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PoliticsOpened Sep 26 · Results Oct 9
Will Philippe Brun appear on the final PS–Place publique primary ballot?
21%
Stable · last 24h
📊 157 bettors💎 5.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 9🤖 Context
YES if the final candidate list published by the primary’s organising commission or by the Parti socialiste includes "Philippe Brun" as an official candidate no later than 12:00 on October 9, 2026, otherwise NO. • Lists published before 19:00:59 UTC on September 26, 2026 do not count. • A voluntary withdrawal or a court decision removing him before the published list counts as NOT listed. • Source: the primary’s organising commission or the Parti socialiste.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No21%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Philippe Brun announced his candidacy for the left primary on June 30; it was ultimately rejected because the PS deputy from Eure was suspended from the party on a provisional basis following accusations of violence, announced Patrick Mennucci, president of the commission for the socialist and democratic left primary, on Wednesday, September 16.
Source: touteleurope.euKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 21%
- Predictions made
- 157
- Credits staked
- 5,265
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Sep 26, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 9, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- touteleurope.eu
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
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