Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

76%
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71%
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YES if no later than August 30, 2026 the INE's public party registry shows that the party registered as "Personas Sumando en 2025, A.C." has a different registered name, an updated emblem, or different official colors, or if the INE or the Tribunal Electoral (TEPJF) issues a public notice saying one or more of those registered elements have been changed and are effective. A social‑media rebrand or a press release announcing an intent to change that is not recorded by the INE or the TEPJF by that date does not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a few days left, it's unlikely they'll change their name or logo. The INE's records keep everything under wraps, and rumors alone won't cut it.

76%
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36%
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29%
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73%
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28%
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15%
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