Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 carrying USSF-317 lift off from the listed pad?

32%
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66%
+1% last 24h
YES if the official daily total precipitation for Paris’s standard official reporting station, as published by Météo‑France for the calendar day November 14, 2026 (00:00–23:59 local Paris time, UTC+01:00), is greater than or equal to 0.2 mm. Otherwise NO. • Only precipitation that falls between 00:00 and 23:59 on November 14, 2026, Paris time, counts. • Source: Météo‑France.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 536 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
32%
-1% last 24h

61%
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65%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h
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