Will one or more public demonstrations be banned in Paris on October 24?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 23:59 on October 24, 2026 (Paris local time), the Préfecture de Police issues an explicit formal prohibition (a signed prefectoral arrêté or an official Préfecture de Police press release) that explicitly bans one or more public demonstrations scheduled to take place inside the administrative limits of Paris on October 24, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Only a signed préfectoral arrêté or an official Préfecture de Police press release counts as a formal prohibition. Non-binding advisories or organisers cancelling without a prefectural prohibition do not count. • A prohibition that applies only outside the administrative limits of Paris counts as NO. A prohibition that bans part(s) of Paris (specific arrondissements or streets) inside the administrative limits counts as YES. • Source: Préfecture de Police.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 82%, based on 1841 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

82%

Predictions made

1,841

Credits staked

83,312

Comments

26

Opened

Oct 21, 2026

Closes

Oct 23, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 24, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 23, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 82% and NO 18%, based on 1841 predictions and 83.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will one or more public demonstrations be banned in Paris on October 24?” real-money betting?

No. “Will one or more public demonstrations be banned in Paris on October 24?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.