Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 17YES if, no later than October 18, 2026, the Parti Socialiste or the primary organisers publicly declare Olivier Faure the winner of the PS–Place publique presidential primary (first round October 9–10, second round October 16–17, 2026). If another candidate is declared the winner, or if the primary is cancelled or postponed and no winner is declared by that date, the market resolves NO. The party's or organisers' public announcement is preferred, but major national reporting is admissible as proof.
How markets are built and settled20%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Public sources confirm that Raphaël Glucksmann was declared the winner of the social-democratic left primary on October 11, 2026, in the first round.
Source: publicsenat.frSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIs it okay?
With around a month to go, it's likely Olivier Faure will be declared the winner; the party needs a solid candidate for the election, and he aligns well with that need.

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