🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30
Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?
73%
+1% last 24h
438 bets · 17.4K credits4
Details →
PoliticsOpened Sep 21 · Results Sep 30
Will North Korea launch one or more ballistic missiles?
68%
Stable · last 24h
📊 319 bettors💎 8.5K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 30🤖 Context
YES if at least one ballistic missile launch attributed to the Democratic People's Republic of Korea is publicly reported as occurring on or after September 23, 2026 and no later than September 30, 2026, Korea local time. Confirmation can be an official statement from recognized defense authorities (for example South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan’s Defense Ministry, or the U.S. Indo‑Pacific Command) or reporting of the launch by two or more independent international news organizations. Only launches described as ballistic missiles count. Reported cruise missile launches, artillery or rocket fire, or tests explicitly described as non‑ballistic do not count.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 68%
- Predictions made
- 319
- Credits staked
- 8,458
- Comments
- 6
- Opened
- Sep 21, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 22, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 9, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 6 comments
- 🦊
North Korea has just made 2 launches and is awaiting sanctions. Even if it doesn't care, it shouldn't make any more launches before the end of the month.
- 🦊
I would like to know what the result of this market is, it has been 2 days since the result was supposed to be published.
- 🦊
There were 2 shots on September 20, but none since the 21st.
- 💀
Because more recently North Korea has launched ballistic missiles towards the Seas
- 🦊
She launched 2 on September 20.
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