Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

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87%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 22YES if, no later than October 21, 2026, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that an official Saudi source publicly stated Saudi air defences intercepted one or more missiles or attack drones launched toward Riyadh or its metropolitan area. Otherwise NO. • Only reports from independent authoritative news outlets count. Unverified social-media-only claims do not count. • "Official Saudi source" means a Saudi government ministry, the Saudi Air Defence Command, or the Saudi-led coalition. • Source: two or more independent authoritative news outlets reporting an official Saudi source.
How markets are built and settled87%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Conclusion: the market resolved as YES. The available public sources indicate that the market conditions were met before the deadline of October 21, 2026, at 7 PM UTC.
Source: saudigazette.com.saSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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