Will Manuel Bompard file a complaint naming Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez?

🤖 Context

YES if, between October 20, 2026 and no later than October 24, 2026, a formal complaint (a "plainte" or a "plainte avec constitution de partie civile") is filed with the Cour de justice de la République that explicitly names Laurent Nuñez as a respondent/accused and explicitly lists Manuel Bompard as the complainant, or is accompanied by an on-the-record public statement by Manuel Bompard or his official office stating he personally filed the complaint, otherwise NO. • Complaints filed before October 20, 2026 do not count. A complaint that names Laurent Nuñez but is filed by another person or organisation does not meet the condition unless it is accompanied by the required on-the-record statement from Manuel Bompard or his office. • Source: Cour de justice de la République. An explicit on-the-record statement from Manuel Bompard or La France insoumise, or contemporaneous reporting by major French news organisations (AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde) confirming the CJR filing and the complainant may also be used as admissible evidence.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 318 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

34%

Predictions made

318

Credits staked

13,834

Comments

4

Opened

Oct 20, 2026

Closes

Oct 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 25, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 25, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 34% and NO 66%, based on 318 predictions and 13.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Manuel Bompard file a complaint naming Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Manuel Bompard file a complaint naming Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.