🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
949 bets · 33.2K credits12
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PoliticsOpened Oct 7 · Results Oct 22
Will Lena Metlege Diab stop being Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship?
53%
Stable · last 24h
📊 459 bettors💎 11.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 22🤖 Context
YES if, no later than October 21, 2026, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that Lena Metlege Diab has either formally resigned as Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship or has been removed and another person has been publicly named to that ministerial post, otherwise NO. • Only a formal resignation or a public naming of a replacement by the deadline counts. • If she remains the named minister, even if her duties are adjusted, or only announces an intention to resign without formally resigning by the deadline, the market resolves NO. • Source: Two or more independent authoritative news outlets, or a Government of Canada / Prime Minister's Office announcement.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No53%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Conclusion: the market resolved as NO, according to the public information found. The decisive criterion is whether Lena Metlege Diab formally left her position as Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship of Canada, or if another person was publicly appointed to this portfolio by no later than October 21, 2026.
Source: pm.gc.caKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 53%
- Predictions made
- 459
- Credits staked
- 11,736
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Oct 7, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 22, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 23, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- pm.gc.ca
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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