Will La France Insoumise table or vote for a motion of censure tied to the 2027 budget (PLF 2027)?

🤖 Context

YES if, between September 26, 2026 and no later than November 15, 2026, the LFI parliamentary group (alone or in coalition) formally tables a motion of censure in the Assemblée nationale, or votes in favor of a motion of censure explicitly tied to the PLF 2027 proceedings. Otherwise NO. • Only a formal filing in the Assemblée nationale or a recorded vote counts. Public declarations without a filing or recorded vote do not count. • Source: Assemblée nationale official records. Major news agencies (AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde) are acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 611 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

63%

Predictions made

611

Credits staked

23,315

Comments

7

Opened

Sep 26, 2026

Closes

Nov 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 16, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 63% and NO 37%, based on 611 predictions and 23.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will La France Insoumise table or vote for a motion of censure tied to the 2027 budget (PLF 2027)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will La France Insoumise table or vote for a motion of censure tied to the 2027 budget (PLF 2027)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.