Will the US and Iran both publicly announce a mutual ceasefire by Aug 10, 2026?

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YES if there is publicly available evidence that on August 6, 2026 Felipe VI and Juan Jesús Vivas met in person at the Palacio de Marivent in Palma de Mallorca, meaning both were physically present at the same location. Acceptable evidence includes a Casa de S.M. el Rey (Casa Real) press release or photos/press materials from the Royal Household, or reporting by major Spanish news outlets such as EFE, RTVE, or El País that cite Casa Real or show photographic proof. Otherwise NO.
Sources used to create this market
With only 20 hours left, there's little chance Felipe VI and Vivas meet without concrete evidence. Given the timeline, I'm betting on a NO here.

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