Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 1YES if an official judicial instrument described as an 'auto de apertura de juicio oral' that opens an oral criminal trial against Begoña Gómez is formally issued, publicly recorded, and identified as issued by Judge Juan Carlos Peinado no later than September 30, 2026. The issuance must be reported by at least two independent Spanish national news outlets and, if available, reflected in the Audiencia Provincial de Madrid's procedural record. Otherwise NO, and a prosecutor's indictment or charging document alone without a judge's 'auto de apertura de juicio oral' is not sufficient.
How markets are built and settled65%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: According to reporting from multiple major Spanish national news outlets such as El País and El Mundo, Judge Peinado signed the official judicial instrument to open the oral trial against the wife of the Spanish Prime Minister on September 21, 2026. The resolution officially sends Begoña Gómez to stand trial before a popular jury (juicio con jurado popular) for alleged crimes of influence peddling (tráfico de influencias) and embezzlement of public funds.
Source: elpais.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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