Will DeepSeek's market share on OpenRouter's text rankings be above 26.3%?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi's market with ticker KXDEEPSHARE-26SEP21-26.3 is marked finalized on Kalshi with the official settlement result YES. The settlement must reflect DeepSeek's market share as published by OpenRouter in its text market-share ranking by model author for the week of September 14, 2026, using the 10:00 AM ET Monday update. If OpenRouter does not list DeepSeek separately (for example it is aggregated into "Others"), or if Kalshi's ticker is not finalized, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 27%, based on 17 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

27%

Predictions made

17

Credits staked

366

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 15, 2026

Closes

Sep 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 21, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 27% and NO 73%, based on 17 predictions and 366 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will DeepSeek's market share on OpenRouter's text rankings be above 26.3%?” real-money betting?

No. “Will DeepSeek's market share on OpenRouter's text rankings be above 26.3%?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.