Will OpenAI have more than 21.8% of OpenRouter's text market share?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi's market with ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP21-21.8 is marked "finalized" on Kalshi with an official settlement result of YES, based on OpenRouter's published text market-share ranking for the week of September 14, 2026 using the 10:00 AM ET Monday update. If OpenRouter's chart for that week does not list "OpenAI" separately (for example if it appears only inside an "Others" aggregation), the market resolves NO. If the Kalshi market is not in a final "finalized" status, this market will not be settled here.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 21 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

43%

Predictions made

21

Credits staked

730

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 15, 2026

Closes

Sep 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 21, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 43% and NO 57%, based on 21 predictions and 730 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will OpenAI have more than 21.8% of OpenRouter's text market share?” real-money betting?

No. “Will OpenAI have more than 21.8% of OpenRouter's text market share?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.